ALoad summary
BChangepoint detectionabrupt shifts in the 7-day load · Schelling et al. (2025)
raw daily load7-day avg, block above season mean
7-day avg, block below season meanchangepoint
spike (> mean + 1 SD) — hover for date
CTime-series toolkitsupporting views of the same series as B
C1Raw daily load
Every session and rest day
C2Smoothing
7-day MA (dark) vs EWMA α 0.3 (orange)
C3Power spectrum
Dominant cycle lengths · 7 d marked
C4Wavelet
Rhythm strength over time
C5Forecast
Holt-Winters, 28 d, 95% band
DDaily load
EAcute : chronic workload
Acute (7-day) ÷ chronic (28-day) · target band 0.8–1.3